中国工业园区生态化发展决策优化方法研究

The Method of Decision-making Optimization for Ecological Development of Chinese Industrial Park

中文关键词:  工业园区  生态化发展决策模型  多目标规划  3E系统  动态仿真模拟

英文关键词:industrial park  ecological development decision-making model  multi-objective programming  3E system  dynamic simulation

中文摘要:

      工业是当前中国经济绿色转型升级的关键行业，而工业园区作为工业集聚化发展的主要载体，工业园区生态化发展是解决资源环境问题、实现经济可持续发展的有效途径。本文关注工业园区生态化发展的中长期发展战略和具体方案，致力于通过仿真模拟的方法提出工业园区生态化发展的方向和优化路径，实现研究方法的创新。研究以3E系统（经济-环境-能源）为基础，综合分析工业园区经济发展与能源环境之间的耦合关系，并结合动态投入产出模型和系统动力学模型构建生态化发展决策模型，通过最优化动态模拟方法开展趋势预测和路径研究。通过辛集工业园区的实证和案例研究，对其生态化发展路径进行深入研究，验证了研究方法的科学性和可靠性，能够为工业园区生态化发展提供实践指导。本文为工业园区生态化发展规划提供新的研究方法，为制定合理有效的工业园区综合战略和实施路径提供科学依据。

英文摘要:

      Secondary industry is a key industry for current Chinese economic green transformation and upgrading. As the main carrier of the agglomeration development of secondary industry, Chinese Industry Park's ecological development is an effective way to improve the trade-off between economic development and resource environmental constraints. This research aims to solve the problems of mid-long term ecological development of China's Industry Parks, establish research methodology innovation by simulation approach. This study reveals the coupling mechanism between economy and ecological environment based on 3E (Economy-Environment-Energy) system, develops the ecological optimization decision-making method and a simulation policy simulator, to explore the laws and trends of the coordinated development of the economy and environment in Industry Park. Using Xinji Industrial Park as case study to verify the scientificity and reliability of the method. This research can provide a scientific basis for formulating reasonable, effective strategies and implementing approach of China's Industry Park.