外部压力＋内部能力：政府治理双重维度对碳排放强度的影响研究

External Pressure and Internal Capacity: A Study on the Influence of the Dual Dimensions of Government Governance on Carbon Emission Intensity

中文关键词:  外部治理压力  内部治理能力  碳排放强度

英文关键词:external governance pressure  internal governance capability  carbon emission intensity

中文摘要:

      碳排放峰值和碳中和的“30/60目标”对政府环境治理提出了更高的要求，如何从政府治理压力和治理能力的视角探寻其与碳减排的关系，为助力中国“双碳”目标的实现提供了新的思路。本文选取中国 30个省（区、市） 2010—2020年的面板数据，通过直接效应、中介效应、空间溢出效应系统考察了政府外部治理压力和内部治理能力对碳减排的协同影响路径。研究发现，外部治理压力和内部治理能力均显著降低了碳排放强度，且内外部治理双重维度产生了显著的协同减排效应，在运用倾向得分匹配法和工具变量法进行稳健性检验时，该结论依然成立。此外，内外部治理双重维度对碳减排的驱动作用因地区分布差异和产业结构差异而存在异质性。中介效应分析结果表明绿色技术创新是内外部治理双重维度降低碳排放强度的重要机制。空间溢出效应分析表明内外部治理双重维度对邻近地区的碳排放强度存在负向空间溢出效应。

英文摘要:

      The “30/60 target” of carbon emission peak and carbon neutrality puts higher requirements for the government’s environmental governance. How explore its relationship with carbon emission reduction from the perspective of the government’s governance pressure and governance capacity provides a new way to help China achieve the “dual carbon” target. This paper selects panel data of 30 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) in China from 2010 to 2020 to systematically investigate the synergistic influence path of external governance pressure and internal governance capacity of the government on carbon emission reduction through direct, intermediary effects and spatial spillover effects. It is found that both external governance pressure and internal governance capacity significantly reduce carbon emission intensity, and the dual dimensions of internal and external governance produce a significant synergistic emission reduction effect. This conclusion is still valid when using the propensity score matching method and instrumental variable method for the robustness test. In addition, the driving effect of the dual dimensions of internal and external governance on carbon emission reduction is heterogeneous due to the differences in regional distribution and industrial structure. The results of the mediation effect analysis show that green technology innovation is an important mechanism to reduce carbon emission intensity from both internal and external governance dimensions. The spatial spillover effects analysis shows that the dual dimensions of internal and external governance have a negative spatial spillover effect on the carbon emission intensity of neighboring areas.